Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.185689 0.215115 0.247682 0.286399 0.331183 0.381370 0.441903
2025-08-17 0.133032 0.170625 0.216597 0.276962 0.354196 0.449789 0.577261
2025-08-24 0.110605 0.152210 0.206720 0.283399 0.388600 0.528084 0.727485
2025-08-31 0.093736 0.136620 0.196056 0.284494 0.412944 0.593087 0.865676
2025-09-07 0.082063 0.125700 0.189196 0.288385 0.439737 0.662573 1.016788
2025-09-14 0.070539 0.112957 0.177422 0.282600 0.450334 0.708261 1.136735
2025-09-21 0.062062 0.103495 0.169014 0.280246 0.464930 0.760426 1.271493
2025-09-28 0.056074 0.097090 0.164377 0.282897 0.487169 0.826258 1.435041
2025-10-05 0.053073 0.095185 0.166689 0.297058 0.529759 0.929586 1.673006
2025-10-12 0.049662 0.092069 0.166450 0.306547 0.565000 1.023746 1.905364
2025-10-19 0.046339 0.088654 0.165192 0.313870 0.596875 1.114930 2.142240
2025-10-26 0.042753 0.084281 0.161630 0.316367 0.619826 1.191891 2.360734
2025-11-02 0.038683 0.078575 0.155082 0.312702 0.631168 1.249413 2.550939
2025-11-09 0.034332 0.071798 0.145727 0.302457 0.628447 1.279647 2.691035
2025-11-16 0.032334 0.069545 0.145015 0.309487 0.661291 1.383698 2.994012
2025-11-23 0.029968 0.066221 0.141719 0.310682 0.681968 1.464891 3.257972
2025-11-30 0.028123 0.063788 0.139981 0.314933 0.709516 1.563177 3.570047
2025-12-07 0.025579 0.059500 0.133777 0.308615 0.712990 1.609793 3.772076
2025-12-14 0.023594 0.056244 0.129471 0.306043 0.724539 1.675282 4.024652
2025-12-21 0.022196 0.054189 0.127634 0.308938 0.749006 1.772476 4.362837
2025-12-28 0.021756 0.054367 0.130955 0.324406 0.805009 1.948657 4.911709
2026-01-04 0.020995 0.053669 0.132125 0.334771 0.849756 2.102879 5.424434
2026-01-11 0.020134 0.052622 0.132336 0.342769 0.889502 2.249169 5.934241